The winter season in central India, including Maharashtra, is set to face challenges this year due to the anticipated impact of Cyclone Michaung in the Bay of Bengal and the potential formation of a Western Disturbance (WD) in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this is likely to result in above-normal minimum temperatures from December to February, with little chance of a cold wave during the season.
Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director-General of IMD, announced during a virtual press conference that a depression in the Bay of Bengal is expected to intensify into Cyclone Michaung by December 2. The cyclone’s north-to-northwest movement will impact Andhra Pradesh and adjoining areas, affecting the central part of the country’s temperature. The IMD predicts light to moderate rainfall in some areas and generally cloudy weather, keeping the minimum temperature above normal.
Mohapatra further highlighted the possibility of a Western Disturbance forming later, extending the impact on the winter season. The central parts of the country, including Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Maharashtra, are expected to see above-normal minimum temperatures throughout the winter. South peninsular India may also experience similar conditions with anticipated rainfall during the winter season.
The month of November 2023 witnessed the third-highest heavy rainfall activities in the last five years, with Maharashtra experiencing 10 to 13 such occurrences, particularly in Marathwada and southern Maharashtra. Weather experts anticipate similar activities in December, including the formation of cyclones, Western Disturbances, and low-pressure areas.
Mrutyunjay Mohapatra highlighted global temperature trends, stating that up to October 2023, the mean near-surface temperature was approximately 1.40 degrees Celsius above the average temperature between 1850 and 1900. The year 2023 is projected to be the warmest in the 174-year record, surpassing previous joint warmest years in 2016 and 2020. The temperature in 2023 remained above normal levels by one to three degrees Celsius.
As central India braces for an unusual winter season, residents and authorities are urged to stay informed and take necessary precautions. The IMD will continue to monitor and provide updates on the evolving weather patterns, ensuring public awareness and safety in the face of the anticipated weather disruptions. Stay tuned for further developments on this weather advisory.
