The global trade landscape is undergoing a shift, with China losing its status as America’s primary trading partner. Recent developments stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict have catalyzed this transformation. Both India and China have reaped benefits from Western sanctions against Russia due to its invasion of Ukraine. Russia, during this period, has emerged as India’s foremost crude oil supplier. Similarly, China has increased its imports of Russian oil.
Speaking at the plenary session of the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok, President Vladimir Putin suggested that the bilateral trade between Russia and China may have already exceeded $200 billion this year.
As China-Russia relations grow stronger, the United States is also recalibrating its global trade strategies. The ongoing Ukraine conflict involving Russia has added impetus to the widely discussed concept of decoupling the world’s two largest economies, the US and China.
This decoupling has resulted in Mexico surpassing China as the United States’ largest trading partner, according to a Bloomberg report. In July, Mexico accounted for 15% of US imports, surpassing China, which constituted 14.6% of imports, as per data analyzed by the report.
Chinese exports in July reached their lowest point since the onset of the Covid pandemic, registering a 14.5% decline compared to the same month last year, according to data released by Beijing last month. Additionally, there was a 12.4% drop in imports, reflecting the challenges faced by the ruling Communist Party in recovering from the post-pandemic economic slowdown.
Simultaneously, foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico has surged by over 40% in the country this year. US companies are increasingly turning to Mexico as an alternative to China, as reported by Bloomberg.
President Joe Biden and Congress recently implemented trade restrictions on Beijing, primarily aimed at safeguarding domestic microchip and tech-related manufacturing. Furthermore, Biden has expressed concerns about China’s economic slowdown, referring to it as a ‘ticking time bomb.’