As the US and Chinese leaders engage in crucial diplomacy, a comprehensive survey across 21 countries reveals a departure from the conventional “west versus the rest” paradigm in geopolitical alliances. The research, conducted by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) and the University of Oxford, indicates a growing trend toward an “a la carte” approach, where states dynamically navigate alliances based on specific issues.
Contrary to the perception of decline in the West, many nations outside it express optimism about China’s economic involvement and anticipate Russia’s success in the Ukraine conflict. The report suggests that the world is evolving into a nuanced landscape, challenging the conventional bipolar rivalry narrative upheld by political leaders in Europe and the US.
While Europe and the US are still perceived as having more attractive values, the study emphasizes that this attractiveness doesn’t necessarily translate into political alignment. The EU is urged to adopt a strategy of “strategic interdependence,” forming broad coalitions across various issues to enhance its global influence.
The authors argue for a recalibration of EU strategy, acknowledging the changing global order. Timothy Garton Ash emphasizes the need for Europe to bolster both soft and hard power, with increased investment in military capabilities. The survey underscores the importance of understanding the emerging dynamics of international relations and seeking new partnerships across critical issues.
