The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported on Tuesday that, despite the weakening of El Nino, above-normal temperatures are anticipated globally between March and May. The WMO forecasts a 60% chance of El Nino persisting during March-May and an 80% chance of neutral conditions from April to June.
El Nino, a climate pattern linked to ocean surface warming in the Pacific, is currently weakening, yet the WMO predicts heightened temperatures over most land areas. There is also speculation about La Nina developing later in the year, though uncertainty surrounds this possibility.
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo emphasized that while El Nino contributes to temperature records, human-induced greenhouse gases remain the primary cause. The ongoing El Nino event, one of the five strongest, began in June 2023, displaying peak values in November-January.
With El Nino’s impact expected to peak in 2024, the WMO anticipates above-normal sea-surface temperatures globally, influencing land temperatures and regional rainfall patterns. The report underscores the concern of persistently high sea-surface temperatures beyond El Nino’s influence.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a hotter-than-usual March-May, with the likelihood of increased heatwave days due to continuing El Nino conditions. However, certain regions, including Delhi, may experience normal to below-normal temperatures in March, with rain expected from western disturbances.
The WMO’s predictions align with growing apprehensions about climate patterns and their consequences, emphasizing the need for global attention to mitigate climate change.
